California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jimmy Gomez a 35% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Jimmy Gomez won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jimmy Gomez — 35% model odds (won)
2. David Kim — 33% model odds (won)
3. Keanakay Scott — 20% model odds
4. Frances Yasmeen Motiwalla — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts