California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sarah Sun Liew a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Sarah Sun Liew won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sarah Sun Liew — 50% model odds (won)
  2. James P. Bradley — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts