California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Grace F. Napolitano a 38% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Grace F. Napolitano won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Grace F. Napolitano — 38% model odds (won)
2. Emanuel Gonzales — 31% model odds (won)
3. Meshal "Kash" Kashifalghita — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts