California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Sherman a 36% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Brad Sherman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brad Sherman — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Courtney "Cj" Berina — 21% model odds (won)
  3. Raji Rab — 21% model odds
  4. Brian T. Carroll — 21% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts