California House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tony Cardenas a 37% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Tony Cardenas won, matching the model's top pick.
- Tony Cardenas — 37% model odds (won)
- Angélica Maria Dueñas — 37% model odds (won)
- Michael R. Guzik — 25% model odds