California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adam B. Schiff a 41% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Adam B. Schiff won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adam B. Schiff — 41% model odds (won)
  2. G. "Maebe A. Girl" Pudlo — 36% model odds (won)
  3. Sal Genovese — 8% model odds
  4. Ara Khachig Manoogian — 8% model odds
  5. Chad D. Anderson — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts