California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Beatrice Cardenas a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Beatrice Cardenas won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Beatrice Cardenas — 50% model odds (won)
2. Johnny J. Nalbandian — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts