California House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel Mercuri a 25% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Mike Garcia won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Daniel Mercuri — 25% model odds
- Mike Garcia — 15% model odds (won)
- Steve Knight — 15% model odds (won)
- David Lozano — 15% model odds
- George Papadopoulos — 15% model odds
- Kenneth Jenks — 15% model odds