California House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Aníbal Valdéz-Ortega a 52% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Christy Smith won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Aníbal Valdéz-Ortega — 52% model odds
- Robert, Iii Cooper — 14% model odds
- Christy Smith — 9% model odds (won)
- Cenk Uygur — 9% model odds (won)
- Getro Franck Elize — 9% model odds
- Christopher C. Smith — 9% model odds