California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Phil Arballo a 40% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Phil Arballo won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Phil Arballo — 40% model odds (won)
2. Dary Rezvani — 32% model odds
3. Bobby Bliatout — 28% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts