California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David G. Valadao a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. David G. Valadao won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David G. Valadao — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts