California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin James Aguilera a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Justin James Aguilera won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Justin James Aguilera — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Ignacio Cruz — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts