California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alison Hayden a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Alison Hayden won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Alison Hayden — 50% model odds (won)
2. Peter Yuan Liu — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts