California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jackie Speier a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Jackie Speier won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jackie Speier — 50% model odds (won)
2. Cristos Goodrow — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts