California House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy Pelosi a 36% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Nancy Pelosi won, matching the model's top pick.
- Nancy Pelosi — 36% model odds (won)
- Shahid Buttar — 33% model odds (won)
- Agatha Bacelar — 20% model odds
- Tom Gallagher — 12% model odds