California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jerry Mcnerney a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Jerry Mcnerney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jerry Mcnerney — 50% model odds (won)
2. Crystal Sawyer White — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts