California House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeremy Staat a 26% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Jay Obernolte won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Jeremy Staat — 26% model odds
- Jay Obernolte — 18% model odds (won)
- Tim Donnelly — 18% model odds (won)
- Jerry Laws — 18% model odds
- Justin David Whitehead — 18% model odds