California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christine Bubser a 42% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Christine Bubser won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christine Bubser — 42% model odds (won)
  2. Bob Conaway — 29% model odds (won)
  3. James Ellars — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts