California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Buzz Patterson a 38% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Buzz Patterson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Buzz Patterson — 38% model odds (won)
  2. Jon Ivy — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Chris Richardson — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts