California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Thompson a 40% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Mike Thompson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Thompson — 40% model odds (won)
2. Jason Kishineff — 34% model odds
3. John Wesley Tyler — 27% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts