California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Mcclintock a 35% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Tom Mcclintock won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tom Mcclintock — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Julianne Benzel — 28% model odds (won)
  3. Jamie Byers — 18% model odds
  4. Jacob Thomas — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts