California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joseph, Iv Letourneau a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Joseph, Iv Letourneau won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Joseph, Iv Letourneau — 50% model odds (won)
2. Gregory Edward Cheadle — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts