California House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Audrey Denney a 50% chance of winning the California House 2020 primary. Audrey Denney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Audrey Denney — 50% model odds (won)
2. Rob Lydon — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts