Arizona Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Martha Mcsally a 33% chance of winning the Arizona Senate 2020 primary. Martha Mcsally won, matching the model's top pick.
- Martha Mcsally — 33% model odds (won)
- Daniel "Demand Daniel" Mccarthy — 33% model odds
- Sean Lyons — 33% model odds