Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dave Giles a 33% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Dave Giles won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dave Giles — 33% model odds (won)
2. Sam Huang — 33% model odds
3. Nicholas Tutora — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts