Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joan Greene an 88% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Joan Greene won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joan Greene — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Jon Ireland — 9% model odds
  3. Javier Ramos — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts