Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jordan Flayer a 55% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Brandon Martin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Jordan Flayer — 55% model odds
- Brandon Martin — 15% model odds (won)
- Noran Eric Ruden — 15% model odds
- Joseph Morgan — 15% model odds