Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tiffany Shedd a 68% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Tiffany Shedd won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tiffany Shedd — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Nolan Reidhead — 32% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts