Alabama House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Barry Moore a 14% chance of winning the Alabama House 2020 primary. Jeff Coleman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Barry Moore — 14% model odds
  2. Jeff Coleman — 14% model odds (won)
  3. Jessica Taylor — 14% model odds
  4. Troy King — 14% model odds
  5. Terri A. Hasdorff — 14% model odds
  6. Thomas W., Jr. Brown — 14% model odds
  7. Bob Rogers — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts