Alabama House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Averhart a 33% chance of winning the Alabama House 2020 primary. Kiani A. Gardner won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. James Averhart — 33% model odds
  2. Kiani A. Gardner — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Rick Collins — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts