Alaska House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Don Young a 65% chance of winning the Alaska House 2020 primary. Don Young won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Don Young — 65% model odds (won)
2. T. "John" Nelson — 18% model odds
3. Gerald L. "Jer" Heikes — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts