Alaska House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave William "Bill" Hibler a 66% chance of winning the Alaska House 2020 primary. Alyse S. Galvin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. William "Bill" Hibler — 66% model odds
  2. Alyse S. Galvin — 17% model odds (won)
  3. Ray Sean Tugatuk — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts