West Virginia Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Morrisey a 75% chance of winning the West Virginia Senate 2018 primary. Patrick Morrisey won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Patrick Morrisey — 75% model odds (won)
2. Evan Jenkins — 5% model odds
3. Don Blankenship — 5% model odds
4. Thomas Willis — 5% model odds
5. Bo Copley — 5% model odds
6. Jack Newbrough — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts