West Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Talley Sergent a 62% chance of winning the West Virginia House 2018 primary. Talley Sergent won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Talley Sergent — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Aaron Scheinberg — 38% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts