West Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kendra Fershee a 68% chance of winning the West Virginia House 2018 primary. Kendra Fershee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kendra Fershee — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Ralph Baxter — 16% model odds
  3. Tom Payne — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts