Wisconsin Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Leah Vukmir a 17% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2018 primary. Leah Vukmir won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Leah Vukmir — 17% model odds (won)
2. Kevin Nicholson — 17% model odds
3. George C. Lucia — 17% model odds
4. Griffin Jones — 17% model odds
5. Charles Barman — 17% model odds
6. Scattered — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts