Wisconsin Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 54% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2018 primary. Scattered won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Scattered — 54% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 15% model odds
3. Mary Jo Walters — 15% model odds
4. John Schiess — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts