Wisconsin House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 25% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2018 primary. Scattered won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Scattered — 25% model odds
  2. Rick Cruz — 25% model odds
  3. Bradley Jason Burt — 25% model odds
  4. Scattered — 25% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts