Wisconsin House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bryan Steil a 72% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2018 primary. Bryan Steil won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Bryan Steil — 72% model odds (won)
2. Paul Nehlen — 7% model odds
3. Nick Polce — 4% model odds
4. Kevin Adam Steen — 4% model odds
5. Jeremy Ryan — 4% model odds
6. Brad Boivin — 4% model odds
7. Scattered — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts