Washington Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jennifer Gigi Ferguson a 20% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2018 primary. Jennifer Gigi Ferguson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jennifer Gigi Ferguson — 20% model odds (won)
  2. Thor Amundson — 20% model odds (won)
  3. Dave Strider — 20% model odds
  4. Charlie R. Jackson — 20% model odds
  5. Jon Butler — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts