Washington Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Maria Cantwell a 20% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2018 primary. Maria Cantwell won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Maria Cantwell — 20% model odds (won)
2. Clint R. Tannehill — 20% model odds (won)
3. Don L. Rivers — 20% model odds
4. Mohammad Said — 20% model odds
5. George H. Kalberer — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts