Washington House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kim Schrier a 31% chance of winning the Washington House 2018 primary. Kim Schrier won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kim Schrier — 31% model odds (won)
  2. Shannon Hader — 30% model odds
  3. Jason Rittereiser — 29% model odds (won)
  4. Tom Cramer — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts