Washington House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cathy Mcmorris Rodgers a 40% chance of winning the Washington House 2018 primary. Cathy Mcmorris Rodgers won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Cathy Mcmorris Rodgers — 40% model odds (won)
2. Jered Gavin Bonneau — 30% model odds (won)
3. Kari Olavi Ilonummi — 30% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts