Washington House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jamie Herrera Beutler a 38% chance of winning the Washington House 2018 primary. Jamie Herrera Beutler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jamie Herrera Beutler — 38% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Cortney — 34% model odds
  3. Earl Bowerman — 28% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts