Washington House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carolyn Long a 48% chance of winning the Washington House 2018 primary. Carolyn Long won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Carolyn Long — 48% model odds (won)
2. David Mcdevitt — 17% model odds (won)
3. Dorothy Gasque — 17% model odds
4. Martin Hash — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts