Vermont Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave H. Brooke Paige a 17% chance of winning the Vermont Senate 2018 primary. Bernie Sanders won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- H. Brooke Paige — 17% model odds
- Bernie Sanders — 8% model odds (won)
- Folasade Adeluola — 8% model odds
- Scattered — 8% model odds
- Brad Peacock — 8% model odds
- Lawrence Zupan — 8% model odds
- Peter Welch — 8% model odds
- Jasdeep Pannu — 8% model odds