Vermont House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter Welch a 9% chance of winning the Vermont House 2018 primary. H. Brooke # Paige won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Peter Welch — 9% model odds
- Dan Freilich — 9% model odds
- Peter Welch — 9% model odds
- H. Brooke Paige — 9% model odds
- Anya # Tynio — 6% model odds
- H. Brooke # Paige — 6% model odds (won)
- Anya Tynio — 6% model odds
- Scattered — 6% model odds