Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul E. Pelletier a 24% chance of winning the Virginia House 2018 primary. Jennifer T. Wexton won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Paul E. Pelletier — 24% model odds
  2. Jennifer T. Wexton — 13% model odds (won)
  3. Alison K. Friedman — 13% model odds
  4. Lindsey Davis Stover — 13% model odds
  5. Dan I. Helmer — 13% model odds
  6. Julia E. Biggins — 13% model odds
  7. Scattered — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts