Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 65% chance of winning the Virginia House 2018 primary. Abigail A. Spanberger won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Scattered — 65% model odds
- Abigail A. Spanberger — 17% model odds (won)
- Daniel K. Ward — 17% model odds