Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ryan A. Mcadams an 84% chance of winning the Virginia House 2018 primary. Ryan A. Mcadams won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ryan A. Mcadams — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 13% model odds
  3. Shion A. Fenty — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts